The United Kingdom has now (finally) left the EU’s Custom Union and Single Market from the start of 2021. As widely predicted, there has been considerable disruption from day one for certain businesses, particularly for retailers writes Niall Savage, Retail & Manufacturing Lead, KPMG in Ireland.
Irish businesses already heavily impacted by the COVID pandemic, need to understand and mitigate the immediate risks arising from Brexit, but equally need to be aware of the potential opportunities presenting themselves.
Daily reports have emanated of “Brexit shocks” including:
The good news for many Irish manufacturers is that the UK Customs have deferred much of their customs requirements on goods for six months - providing time to learn the new UK regime.
Despite having over four years to prepare, Brexit has clearly blindsided several retailers and supporting manufacturers. In their defence, the final detailed agreement was only reached on Christmas Eve 2020 – so just over a week (the pandemic dominated Christmas holidays) to prepare for another “new normal”.
Anecdotally, this has resulted in decreased volumes in UK goods landing in Irish ports for three reasons:
UK retailers are rapidly considering strategic options and may exit certain markets - this provides potential competitive advantages to EU manufacturers and retailers.
These additional customs processes are permanent, additional requirements for trade between Britain and the EU. They are new, complex, and time consuming. A customs declaration has 57 boxes to complete including commodity code, weight, origin, and value. Time and experience should enable most businesses to understand the paperwork and get to grips with new Rules of Origin conditions.
It is these Rules of Origin conditions that underpin much of the unforeseen disruption. While the final Brexit Free Trade Agreement (FTA) eliminated all customs duties on goods between the UK and the EU, there were extensive conditions to determine whether goods can avail of this agreement. The classic example is cornflakes from Spain being shipped to the UK and repackaged before onward shipping to Ireland – under the new rules of origin they are subject to tariffs on the way into Ireland as they lose their EU status and don’t gain UK status as the level of work done on them in the UK isn’t sufficiently high. The new rules also affect UK retailers importing clothes, home furnishings, etc. from China and re-exporting them to the EU which will now potentially incur additional customs charges.
UK retailers are therefore rapidly considering strategic options and may exit certain markets if supply chain solutions cannot be found - this provides potential competitive advantages to EU manufacturers and retailers.
The UK has provided a six-month deferral on post-Brexit customs declarations and collection of tariffs- giving Irish exporters and hauliers more time to prepare...
There has not been the same disruption noted for Irish exporters, yet. This is in part down to COVID lockdowns affecting demand, an element of stockpiling pre-Christmas and normal seasonal demand.
There is another simpler reason, the UK has provided a six-month deferral on post-Brexit customs declarations and collection of tariffs. Therefore Irish exporters will not be subject to the same “Brexit shocks” until 30 June 2021.
This gives Irish exporters and hauliers more time to prepare for new customs processes and the UK time to build the infrastructure. This is in direct contrast to the EU approach encountered by UK exporters.
There is an immediate need to understand the effects of Brexit in the following three areas and seek advice as appropriate to minimise disruption and loss of revenue.
The FTA permits unlimited movement of goods wholly produced in the UK and EU, it is therefore critical to understand where raw materials and components are produced. Understanding non-EU/UK components is critical and the effect this will have under new customs rules is essential.
If you are trading with the UK (import or export) there are a significant number of factors to consider:
To maximise opportunities, businesses need to understand or take advice on the various reliefs and deferrals such as customs warehousing and inward processing relief.
Critically, the Common Travel Area will continue to operate and apply to Irish and UK nationals. However, there are a number of immigration changes which may affect your existing workforce. These include:
If you have any queries on how Brexit will affect your business, please get in touch with our dedicated Brexit response team.