KPMG expects Hong Kong fiscal reserves of HKD878 billion by March 2021

KPMG expects Hong Kong fiscal reserves of HKD878...

Targeted measures needed to assist local businesses and individuals to overcome economic hurdles. Optimistic for a rebound in Hong Kong’s economy, driven by opportunities within the GBA and a vaccine rollout.


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18 February 2021, Hong Kong – KPMG forecasts the Hong Kong SAR government will record a HKD 282 billion consolidated budget deficit for the fiscal year 2020/21, the largest deficit in 20 years, mainly driven by subsidies derived from the anti-epidemic funds granted during the year, as well as increased recurring expenditure and reduced tax and land sales revenues. The deficit is expected to result in fiscal reserves of around HKD 878 billion by the end of March 2021. 

John Timpany, Partner, Head of Tax in Hong Kong, KPMG China, says: “With the COVID-19 epidemic still affecting businesses and society, a fiscal deficit is anticipated for the next one to two years. This is largely driven by much-needed fiscal stimulus in these difficult times, especially large-scale one-off measures.The Hong Kong government should continue to make good use of its fiscal reserves to support enterprises, safeguard jobs, stimulate the economy and help the population until we see signs of economic recovery. In the longer term, the government will need to enhance sustainable economic growth in Hong Kong and maintain its competitiveness in the Asia-Pacific region by continuing to attract overseas investment and create local job opportunities.”

In order to further strengthen Hong Kong’s role as a leading regional hub for asset and wealth management, KPMG proposes additional measures including establishing a new entity category called a “personal investment company”. This is a common investment structure for family offices and will help to attract more of them to set up in Hong Kong. Introducing tax concessions to personal investment companies and expanding current profits tax exemption regime on family office funds will also increase Hong Kong’s appeal to family office businesses.

The government should also consider adopting 50% of the normal tax rate for profits derived by regional headquarters in Hong Kong, in order to encourage companies to establish their regional headquarters in the city. Additionally, in terms of deriving opportunities from BEPS 2.0, the government should review the Hong Kong tax system to ensure it remains competitive, as well as introduce new legislation to encourage multinational companies to re-domicile their headquarters to Hong Kong. 

In the short-to-medium term, KPMG recommends a number of economic measures to assist local businesses including allowing current year tax loss as a one-off set-off of the previous year’s taxable profits and refunding excessive tax already paid, providing a one-off subsidy for qualified companies who suffered a certain amount of tax loss, deferring tax filing and payments by three months, and waiving 50% of the provisional tax for 2021/22. KPMG also suggests waiving rates for the four quarters of 2021/22 for every rateable property. 

Alice Leung, Partner, Corporate Tax Advisory, KPMG China, says: “Although the government is facing a significant deficit this year, Hong Kong’s public finances remain healthy and therefore a fiscal deficit is acceptable for a short period of time. We believe that more aggressive measures can be adopted to tackle the situation in view of the strong reserves position, especially when compared to the time during SARS. In terms of additional programs and policies, we propose the government considers programmes to retrain individuals. Providing additional retraining will enable individuals to repurpose their skillsets in order to seek new opportunities in a post COVID-19 economy. We also encourage the government to consider issuing HKD10,000 electronic consumption vouchers targeting general consumption, food and entertainment to each Hong Kong permanent resident aged 18 to 69, while residents aged 70 or above can receive HK$10,000 cash through the Old Age Allowance.”

In terms of ongoing support for businesses and individuals, KPMG recommends the government provides an allowance on rental expenses for residential properties, as well as to dedicate additional resources and funding for government and non-governmental sectors to create additional jobs across sectors. KPMG also recommends providing an allowance to working families who employ helpers through recognised institutions, plus providing an allowance of HKD 50,000 to working parents who look after their children aged 16 or below, or in the case of disabled dependents being looked after by their grandparents. 

In terms of ongoing economic development, many industries have shown resilience despite the ongoing pandemic. The robust outlook of Hong Kong’s asset management industry, for example, continues to be driven by growth opportunities from mainland China and within the Greater Bay Area (GBA). Hong Kong’s capital market also remains strong with a healthy pipeline of IPOs, another positive driver in terms of economic and investment activities. 

Tax incentives meanwhile will enable corporates to continue to leverage opportunities within the GBA. KPMG recommends the government extends the enhanced R&D tax deduction to cover R&D activities carried out in the GBA, as well as extend dependent parent and grandparent allowances to those who ordinarily reside in the GBA.

Stanley Ho, Partner, Corporate Tax Advisory, KPMG China, concludes: “The government could expand and optimize its tax treaty network to cover other principal trading partners’ jurisdictions. This would encourage more foreign investors to set up their companies in Hong Kong, which in turn would promote economic development, enhancing Hong Kong’s competitiveness in the long-run.”


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About KPMG China

KPMG member firms and their affiliates operating in mainland China, Hong Kong SAR and Macau SAR are collectively referred to as “KPMG China.” KPMG China is based in 27 offices across 25 cities with around 12,000 partners and staff in Beijing, Changsha, Chengdu, Chongqing, Foshan, Fuzhou, Guangzhou, Haikou, Hangzhou, Hefei, Jinan, Nanjing, Ningbo, Qingdao, Shanghai, Shenyang, Shenzhen, Suzhou, Tianjin, Wuhan, Xiamen, Xi’an, Zhengzhou, Hong Kong SAR and Macau SAR. Working collaboratively across all these offices, KPMG China can deploy experienced professionals efficiently, wherever our clients are located.

KPMG is a global organisation of independent professional services firms providing Audit, Tax and Advisory services. We operate in 146 countries and territories and in FY20 had close to 227,000 people working in member firms around the world. Each KPMG firm is a legally distinct and separate entity and describes itself as such. KPMG International Limited is a private English company limited by guarantee. KPMG International Limited and its related entities do not provide services to clients. 

In 1992, KPMG became the first international accounting network to be granted a joint venture licence in mainland China. KPMG was also the first among the Big Four in mainland China to convert from a joint venture to a special general partnership, as of 1 August 2012. Additionally, the Hong Kong firm can trace its origins to 1945. This early commitment to this market, together with an unwavering focus on quality, has been the foundation for accumulated industry experience, and is reflected in KPMG’s appointment for multidisciplinary services (including audit, tax and advisory) by some of China’s most prestigious companies.

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