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Suicide rates grow up to 40 percent without better prevention

Suicide rates could grow up to 40 percent

Suicide deaths in Australia are on track to grow up to 40 percent throughout the next decade without better prevention and earlier intervention, new modelling warns on this World Suicide Prevention Day – Tuesday 10 September 2019.


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The Turning Points: Imagine a World Without Suicide paper, commissioned by Suicide Prevention Australia and developed by KPMG – predicts 1300 more deaths by suicide per year will occur by 2030 if the worsening rates of the last decade (2010s) continue.

Suicide Prevention Australia CEO Nieves Murray stated that the findings were a “major wakeup call” and the challenge was to now look at suicide prevention beyond a health response – or risk losing more lives in the future.

“Australia has a world-class safety net of mental health and suicide prevention services ready and waiting to help,” said Ms Murray.

“The challenge for this decade is preventing the next wave of stressors – whether they be financial, personal or environmental – transforming into a threat to suicide rates in the first place.

“The better we can proactively predict what economic and social risks are around the corner, the better we can prepare Australians ahead of time and prevent suicide rates increasing.

“The time to take action is now – Australia cannot afford another decade of increasing suicide rates,” said Ms Murray.

As of 2017, Australia’s suicide rates stand at 12.7 per 100,000 deaths – 3128 deaths per year – the same level as 50 years ago.

Acording to the Turning Points paper

  • “If the worsening rates of suicide of the last decade continue, the number of lives lost will grow significantly over the next decade.” 
    • Worsening case: 4430 deaths by suicide by 2030 (14.8 per 100,000 deaths);
    • Current trajectory: 3801 deaths by suicide by 2030 (12.7 per 100,000 deaths);
    • Improved case: 3113 deaths by suicide 2030 (10.4 per 100,000 deaths).
  • “We are predicting that the Federal Government’s $15 million investment in improved and coordinated data collection and retrieval will reveal a higher official suicide rate than currently recorded.”
  • “The cost of suicide in Australia is stark and continues to rise.”
  • “The burden of mortgage debt is leading to mental distress and worsening mental health outcomes.”
  • “The gig economy and the use of contractors in workplaces have the potential to further isolate individuals who suffer from loneliness and a lack of connection.”
  • “60 percent of buy-now-pay-later service customers are aged between 18 and 34, and more than 40 percent of users had incomes of less than $40,000.”
  • “Strong family relationships and networks are more highly valued by men than friendships, which may contribute to the long term negative effects of relationship loss.”
  • “People do not need to be experiencing mental illness to be suicidal.”
  • “What is not known is the extent of service provision outside the traditional health and human service sectors, such in the finance and service industries.”
  • “An immediate priority for the suicide prevention sector is to investigate and understand how to best support vulnerable people before reaching crisis point."

    Source: Turning Points: Imagine a World Without Suicide, 10 September 2019

KPMG Director and National Mental Health Lead, Andrew Dempster said: “We need to broaden our view of what we consider to be risk factors to make sure suicide rates do not continue to grow.

“This means looking beyond the standard markers that would suggest someone is at risk. Emerging stressors such as rising household debt, increased social isolation and loneliness and the casualisation of the workforce are key areas that must be considered in relation to a person’s mental wellbeing.

“What’s missing in the current suicide prevention framework are services for people well before a suicide attempt. There is evidence to suggest focus on support services in social environments, communities and workplaces needs to be greater and would play a significant role in helping people.”

The findings come as a recent YouGov polling commissioned by Suicide Prevention Australia discovered over 10 million Australian adults were estimated to know someone who has died by suicide – while 1 in 2 young people (aged 18-24) were impacted by the time they turn 25.
The poll also found Australians were most concerned about issues such as cost of living and personal debt (62%) and economic and job security (52%) as key drivers of suicide heading into the next decade, and considered young people (12-24) and middle-aged Australians (25-55) most at risk.

Ms Murray commended the Morrison Government on listening to Suicide Prevention Australia’s calls for the appointment of a national suicide prevention advisor within Prime Minister and Cabinet.

Ms Murray said the next critical step to delivering a whole-of-government approach to suicide prevention in Australia is the broadening of the National Suicide Prevention Plan beyond the health portfolio in order to build community resilience against future suicide risks.

To get help 24/7, phone Lifeline on 13 11 14 or the Suicide Call Back Service on 1300 659 467. If you or someone you know are in immediate danger, phone 000 for emergency services.

For further information

Troy Bilsborough
0427 063 150

Beroze Dubash
0403 402 228

Whitney Fitzsimmons
0448 285 646

Help to report about suicide safely is available online: Go to

About Suicide Prevention Australia

Suicide Prevention Australia is the national peak body and we’ve been providing support for Australia’s suicide prevention sector for more than 25 years. We support and advocate for our members to drive continual improvement in suicide prevention policy, programs and services. Our reach is broad, including member organisations, governments, businesses, researchers, practitioners and those with lived experience. We are focused on an integrated approach to suicide prevention encompassing mental health, social, economic and community factors. We believe that through collaborative effort and shared purpose, we can achieve our vision of a world without suicide.

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